The wealth effect impacts consumer spending as inflation and interest rates climb
Understanding the wealth effect Economists know that consumers spend more when their wealth increases, even if their income remains the same. However, if wealth decreases, the opposite occurs. The concept, known as the wealth effect, has spurred the economy for well more than a decade as savers’ 401(k)s and other retirement accounts increased year-after-year. At…
By Bill Schmick
May 26, 2022
Does this look smaller to you? Shrinkflation is here.
By now, you may have noticed that something doesn’t look quite right on your grocery shelves. Could it be that bag of chips, or maybe that roll of toilet paper, seems to have shrunk? Let me assure you it is not your eyes; we have all come down with a bad case of shrinkflation. Shrinkflation…
By Bill Schmick
April 28, 2022
Stagflation is here
I wish people would stop talking about stagflation. It scares me. What scares me most is that there’s a greater than zero percent chance of it being an unwelcome guest for a good chunk of 2022. The term “stagflation” became popular during the 1970s as an oil price shock rattled the economy. (Sound familiar?) Stagflation…
By Allen Harris
March 14, 2022
US economy today: is this a recession or just a growth scare?
On May 19, 2022, I attended an invitation-only webinar. It was hosted by FSInsight and presented by DeMARK Analytics. Fundamental portfolio managers check their work through FSInsight. Technical analysts check their expectations through DeMARK Analytics. Early in 2022, FSInsight nudged me to rotate some of my growth positions to value when they predicted that the first half of…
By Allen Harris
May 31, 2022