It was a week where lackluster earnings battled with the Fed’s willingness to hold off on rate hikes for investors’ attention. The Fed won. Investors bought on the dips and helped to push the markets out of correction territory.
At the Market
The stock markets have gained almost one percent per day since the beginning of the year. If you had panicked and sold during the Christmas holidays, you are sitting in cash wondering when to get back in. Here is some advice.
The sell-of in stocks has now exceeded the 2016 decline. Investor sentiment is as low as it has been since May of that year. The Fed refuses to save us, and Donald Trump insists on his wall or he will lay off thousands of federal workers. Did I say Merry Christmas?
Stocks worldwide have experienced a downdraft since October. All the gains so painstakingly made thus far in 2018 have been erased. Volatility has battered markets with all the severity of a Nor’easter. Next year may prove to be a continuation of the same.
This Saturday evening, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will sit down to dinner in Buenos Aires at the G-20 conference. Investors are holding their breath, hoping that the two might come to some agreement that could lower tensions and avert a full-out trade war between the U.S. and China.
Black Friday sales are in full swing. Normally, today is all about the retail trade. Consumers spend the day waiting in line, picking up heavily discounted ‘door buster’ deals, and generally starting their holiday gift shopping. This year, it appears traders are also holding their own Black Friday sales.
This week saw a re-test of the October lows. That is to be expected in most stock market corrections. What is important to the future well-being of equities globally is that the averages do not decline much further from here.
Stocks are in the process of consolidating after the big gains over the last week or so. So far, the October sell-off has led to a recovery of about half of what was lost. In the two months ahead, we should see even further gains.
It happened like clockwork. Earlier in the week, all three main U.S. averages re-tested their lows and then proceeded to bounce back, only to give it all back. That’s what happens during corrections, but it is not over yet. Afterall, it is October. Readers will recall that last week I wrote that nine out of ten times markets will re-test their recent lows. Naturally, this is more of an art than a science, so prices can bottom somewhat above or below those lows. In this case, the Dow hit its lowest level in four months. The S&P 500 Index slipped…
It never fails. A couple weeks of declining markets and everybody becomes bearish. “New bear market unfolding,” “An end has a start,” or “More evidence of a global bear market” are just some of the headlines I’ve read in the past week. How did we go from bullish to bearish in such a short time period?
Right about now, most investors are feeling sick to their stomachs. All three averages have plummeted this week and the selling does not appear to be over. We have all been here before. This time is no different.
After this week’s trade deal between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, investors are waiting to see if China will now come to the table. What would it take for that to happen?
Today marks the end of the third quarter for stocks in 2018. But it is the fourth quarter that will determine what kind of year it will be. Let’s place our bets.
The Dow and the S&P 500 Indexes made record highs this week. That’s right, we broke the levels of January and we closed out the week holding these new higher levels. So much for the bear’s prediction of a 5-7% pullback.
Next week, Wall Street’s big boys return to their offices. Campaigning for mid-term elections moves to the front burner, and tariff threats between the U.S. and China will likely escalate. Welcome to one of the worst months of the year for stocks.
As of Friday, we were in striking distance of a record high on the S&P 500 index. We have been here before, but something tells me that this time we just may break through. But for how long? Granted, stock market volumes are exceptionally light, which is understandable, since we are heading in to one of the slowest weeks of the year. That makes any new highs suspect until volume improves. We would need to wait another week or so for that to occur. Next weekend is Labor Day and it is only after the holiday that the Big Boys…