One of the hottest trends on Wall Street today is special purpose acquisition companies or SPACS. There is hardly a day that goes by without an announcement of a new SPAC, or the acquisition and merger of a private company by one. It works like this. Although they are called “companies,” SPACs have no commercial operations, no sales, profits, or losses. All they have is a pile of cash. They received that money from investors in an initial public offering (IPO) with the promise that they would invest that money down the road into a private company with good prospects….
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Investment Portfolios
CAPITAL IDEAS: A bubble in ‘stonks’
COVID-19 vaccination update The good news: COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations have improved recently in the U.S. As of February 15, 2021, 54.6 million doses have been given. An average of 1.64 million doses per day are being administered. The bad news: Infections of the more contagious variant from the U.K. are doubling every 10 days in the U.S. This mutant strain may reverse the positive trends that have occurred since January 9, 2021. More infections would slow the reopening of the economy and be a headwind for job creation. Retail trading: Froth and frenzy Retail investors are bidding up so-called “meme” stocks…
Stocks versus Bitcoin
There was no contest this week. Cryptocurrencies took center stage as the stock market churned, chopped and gave investors a little indigestion. Welcome to the market’s brave new world. It appeared that Bitcoin was the answer to whatever ails you. Higher interest rates, the threat of higher inflation, weaker (or stronger) dollar, no problem, just buy Bitcoin. By the end of this week, the crypto coin had chalked up a 15% gain and was trading above $52,000. Ethereum, Bitcoin’s younger cousin, was also up 10%. None of the financial market’s usual suspects—stocks, bonds, or commodities—could come close to those kinds…
CAPITAL IDEAS: Passive investing
According to AAII’s calculations, the Russell 1000 Growth Index posted an average annual gain of 17 percent for the entire decade of the 2010s. That compares to a 10 percent return for the Russell 1000 Value Index. Holding a balanced portfolio throughout that decade would have been prudent. A balanced portfolio would have been more diversified and, theoretically, safer. However, that prudent, safer portfolio would have underperformed its more reckless counterpart. It is a worthwhile exploration to elucidate why this occurred. At least two of the reasons that drove the outperformance of growth relative to value are still applicable today. Those…
Financial froth infects markets
One sure sign that stocks are getting overdone, is the actions of overconfident investors that bid up stocks in a euphoric frenzy, only to dump them at the first sign of trouble. These behavior patterns normally usher in a corrective stage in the stock market, but exactly when that will occur is anyone’s guess. Investopia’s definition of froth “refers to a market condition where an asset’s price begins to increase beyond its intrinsic value.” Wall Street’s “Reefer Madness” event this week is just such an example. Certain stocks in the Cannabis sector saw their share prices double and then triple…
Capital Ideas: Politics unusual
COVID-19 Vaccination Update As of February 2, 2021, 32.8 million Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. That was more than those who tested positive for the virus. The average daily rate of vaccinations has reached 1.34 million doses per day. The average daily rate may be affected by the snowstorms of last week, but it seems to be trending upward. Trading a Pullback Valuations are staggeringly high. Nonetheless, I remain invested in equity for the portion of my portfolios intended for that. Despite sky-high valuations, I am hesitant to take bold defensive moves. I…
Stocks regain momentum
What a difference one week makes! Stocks recouped all their losses this week, and then went on to make new highs. The outcome of President Biden’s proposed stimulus bill will determine the market’s next move. Let me set the record straight. Last week, I wrote that I expected stocks to stumble, hopefully preparing readers for a possible decline of 10-15%. That was a mistake. Instead, traders bought last week’s 3% dip, and, at this point, we are now back to square one. Well, not quite. The U.S. dollar, the Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Bond, and the price of gold have all…
Is the stock market in a bubble?
According to a recent E-Trade survey, millionaire investors believe the U.S. stock market is in a bubble (or at least near one). The survey results from investors with at least $1 million of investable assets were: 16 percent say the stock market is “fully in a bubble” 46 percent say it is “somewhat of a bubble” 29 percent say the market is “approaching” a bubble 9 percent say it is “nowhere near” a bubble More than half of the millionaire-class believe the U.S. stock market is at least in “somewhat of a bubble.” They may be right, just accidentally, but are they…
Tax Tips for Charitable Donations
Charitable giving is a great way to support the causes you care about while also getting a tax break. In 2020, Congress passed the Coronavirus Aid Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act, which incentivized charitable giving by offering new rules for charitable deductions. As we move into the new year, now is the time to make sure you’re making your 2020 deductions properly and planning for your 2021 charitable giving. Here’s what you need to know: 2020 Tax Moves The CARES Act temporarily changed some of the rules around tax deductions for charitable giving in 2020 to encourage people…
4 Smart Money Moves for 2021
With the new year in full swing, it’s a great time to take stock of your personal finances. From building a budget and saving for retirement to getting a jump on this year’s taxes, here are some of the smart money moves to consider to help brighten your financial life in the new year. 1. Build a budget Creating a monthly budget can help you better understand your spending and identify how much money you can put toward your financial goals. First, take your monthly salary or wages after taxes are taken out. Next, tally your necessary expenses for each…
Creating a Successful Business Succession Plan
An exit strategy helps business owners ensure the long-term success of their company A good succession plan creates a blueprint for ownership transfer as you exit your business. It helps you prepare for your retirement, ensuring you have the income you need. And setting a well-conceived plan into motion protects the people around you, including your heirs, employees, and customers by laying the groundwork for a smooth transition. Yet, despite these important benefits, many privately owned businesses don’t have a succession plan, leaving the business vulnerable to unforeseen circumstances. For instance, if the business owner dies or becomes incapacitated, there…
Understanding Your Retirement Income Plan
Manage cash flow in retirement with multiple income streams When you retire, you get to bid farewell to the working world. That’s the good news. The bad news? You’ll no longer have a paycheck coming in from your employer. To address that, you’ll need to piece together a steady stream of income from different retirement sources, such as Social Security, retirement accounts, and annuities. Each of these sources of income has its own benefits and tax treatments. Here’s what you need to know about how they might fit into your retirement plan. Social Security Benefits Monthly Social Security benefits provide…
Medicine Monday
Dalton, Mass. — On Monday, Nov. 9, Pfizer announced results regarding its COVID-19 vaccine. The Monday after that, Moderna reported good news regarding its own vaccine. Then AstraZeneca came out with more coronavirus vaccine news on Monday, Nov. 23. This column will be published Monday, Nov. 30. Who knows what new medical news we might receive that day? We will get past the shutdowns and the social distancing that crushed the global economy earlier this year. I’ve said all along that the pandemic is driving the timeline of the economic recovery. That remains true. Is this good news already priced into…
The rising costs of hurricanes
Over the last few decades, hurricanes have wreaked havoc on this country. Hurricanes have caused the most deaths, the greatest damage, and cost the most money of any weather or climate-related disasters in U.S. history. Some say we’re just getting started when it comes to the intensity and frequency of these super storms. The frequency of hurricanes (like just about any other subject you can think of in this country these days) can be a political football depending on who you talk to. Environmentalists blame a warmer climate and rising sea levels, caused by greenhouse gas emissions, for the…
Will we race to the bottom?
Financial markets are in turmoil. President Trump’s trade war is escalating, and with it, fears that both China and the U.S. will employ a new weapon, currency devaluation, to win the war. Is that a wise move?
What does your 401(k) investments look like?
By Nate Tomkiewicz and Bill Schmick It might surprise you to know that many retirement savers religiously contribute to their tax-deferred savings plans but have no idea what investments they own. Many plan representatives simply suggest that if you don’t know, just invest in a target date retirement fund. Is this a good idea?